INCREASING ADMISSIONS
FOR
ASTHMA
471
[10, 23). One study suggested that the threshold has in-
creased, so that not only are there more children ad-
mitted
to
hospital but they tend to be more severely
affected [24). A recent study, using a clinical scoring
method for measuring severity, determined that
in
New
Zealand significantly more asthma admissions could be
graded as severe
or
very severe [25], compared with a
similar study
in
the UK after the application
of
the
same scoring method [26). Mild cases were, therefore,
not admitted disproportionately.
A further factor which
has
been implicated as the
cause for increasing severity and increasing hospital
admission rates is change
in
the medical management
of
asthma [27, 28]. There has been an impressive in-
crease in asthma drug sales
in
many countries [29).
There have also been major improvements
in
asthma
treatment in children, with better understanding
of
the
pharmacokinetics
of
asthma drugs, improved formula-
tions and better delivery systems. However, paradoxi-
cally this group has shown the greatest increase
in hospitalization. There is now a real concern that
sympathomimetics, whilst excellent for treating the
acute episode, may in fact be making asthma worse
in
the long run by increasing bronchial hyperresponsive-
ness [30-32].
The evidence presented here suggests that there has
been a small increase
in
asthma prevalence in children
with a dramatic increase
in
the number
of
children with
severe asthma requiring hospitalization. This could be
explained by either an increase
in
the proportion
of
the
population susceptible to asthma
or
by an increase
in
the clinical expression
of
the
di
sease by those who are
susceptible. This is illustrated in figure
1.
A shift
in
the
curve to the right
(A
to B) causes a small increase in
the proportion
of
the population (area under the curve)
with mild asthma but a much larger increase
in
the
proportion with severe asthma.
nil
mild
severe
Asthma severity
Fig.
1.
-
The
effect
oo
the
prevalence
of
mild
and
severe
asthma
caused
by
a s
mall
change
in
the
distribution
of
asthma
(A
to
B).
The increase in hospital admissions for asthma
in
children is real and
is
not explained by diagnostic trans-
fer, readmissions,
or
changes
in
admission criteria. The
uniformity of the increase within New Zealand
[7)
and
the smooth increase with time
in
all countries studied
[8)
suggests that whatever
th
e factor, it is operating
throughout the western world. Environmental factors
such as pollution
or
airborne allergens, which
may
have
produced this, seem unlikely culprits [33], but changes
in diet cannot be excluded [34]. Medical management
of
asthma must
be
examined more closely. In particu-
lar, long-term trials are needed comparing asthmatics
treated with regular sympathomimetics with those us-
ing sympathomimetics sparingly. The other major re-
search need is to answer conclusively whether
or
not
prevalence and severity
of
asthma is increasing.
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