inflation and likely pay award risks significantly devaluing the pension of those member’s aged 59 or
above if they delay retirement even for a single year. This is compounded by the fact that there are
no late retirement factors in the 1995 NHS pension scheme (the scheme that the vast majority of
those staff approaching the age of 60 are in). This means that for every year spent working beyond
the age of 60, the level of annual pension that could have been received had they retired at the age
of 60 is effectively lost. In response to inaccurate information published by NHSEI that claimed that
NHS staff would receive a higher pension if they delayed retirement, the BMA has produced a tool
enabling hospital doctors aged 59 or above to model the impact on their own situation if they worked
for an extra year. This has demonstrated that a doctor may be well over £100,000 worse of if they
retire at the age of 61 rather than age 60.
The second pressing issue in relation to the current rates of CPI, is the fact that two different measures
of inflation are used in the NHS pension scheme. This particularly impacts those on Career Averaged
Revalued Earnings (CARE) Pension Schemes. As GPs are wholly within a CARE scheme, it has the
biggest impact on this group of doctors. The current rules use a different CPI value for "opening"
value (which is based on the rate of CPI measured in September LAST year), versus the
revaluation/dynamisation of earnings built in the NHS pension scheme (based on the rate of CPI
measured in September THIS year). When inflation was stable, and last year/this year CPI are similar,
this doesn’t present a major problem. However, when inflation changes rapidly, like it is now, it
becomes a very significant problem for many. For example, CPI in September 2022 is likely to be ~10%
and as per the scheme rules, the pension will be revalued by “inflation”+1.5% and therefore increased
by ~11.5%. However, the opening value of the pension will only increase by 3.1% (September 2021
CPI). Therefore, even though the AA is only supposed to test pension growth “above inflation”, this
discrepancy caused by using two different measures of inflation will result in this purely inflationary
growth being tested against the AA and for many this will use a significant proportion of the available
AA or in some cases exceed it entirely, resulting in an additional tax charge simply as a result of
inflation. This impact is compounded by the fact that the opposite scenario will occur next year if as
predicted inflation returns to more “normal levels”. Due to the fact that despite receiving a single
pension, the 2015 scheme and the 1995/2008 schemes are considered different schemes, negative
growth in one scheme cannot be offset against positive growth in another as negative growth is simply
considered to be “zero”. In addition, negative growth in the 1995/2008 scheme cannot be offset
against either previous or future years. Consequently, even though if inflation falls again next year,
the value of the 1995/2008 pension will fall in real terms, this fall is completely ignored. This
effectively means that GPs in particular will face additional AA tax bills of tens of thousands of
pounds this year for “pseudogrowth”, the majority of which will be lost next year but with no
refund/reduction of the tax paid.
An example in the latest BMJ article outlined a GP with median partner earnings of £115k (significantly
below the £200k taper limit) receiving an AA charge of over £32k – due to this flaw in the finance act
is incorrectly measuring growth above inflation. Further details of this issue are laid out here
Thirdly, the high levels of inflation have exacerbated the impact of the decision to freeze the Lifetime
Allowance (LTA). This is likely to see over £100k real terms value removed from the LTA this year alone.
Why flexibility suggested by the Secretary of State and NHSEI won’t work
We are disappointed to hear the suggestion from NHS Employers and the Secretary of State to the
HSC that the solution to the outstanding pension taxation problem lies in the use of pension
flexibilities. We are clear that taking an approach of introducing flexibilities, or ‘tinkering’ with the
existing system, while ignoring its fundamental flaws will not resolve the situation, and the result is
that senior NHS workers will leave the NHS in unprecedented numbers.